McMurray grabs third pole of the season at Chicagoland

Autoracing Betting Lines

07/09/2010 - Joliet, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jamie McMurray picked up his Sprint Cup Series leading third pole of the season after topping the charts in Friday's qualifying for the LifeLock.com 400 at Chicagoland Speedway.

McMurray turned in a lap of 183.542 m.p.h. around the one-and-a-half-mile oval for his sixth career Cup pole.

"It's really amazing with our qualifying this year, and we've been really strong," McMurray said. "I'm really happy with our lap today."

McMurray began the season in February by winning the Daytona 500, but has dropped to 19th in the standings since then. He trails 12th-place Carl Edwards by 225 points with eight races remaining before the start of the championship Chase.

Jimmie Johnson will start on the outside pole after posting a lap of 183.281 m.p.h. Johnson, the four-time defending series champion, became a father earlier this week. His wife, Chandra, gave birth to their first child, a daughter. The couple has yet to choose a name, but are affectionately referring to her as "Baby J" for now.

"We didn't expect her to come this early, so that was a bit of a surprise," Johnson said. "With [crew chief] Chad [Knaus] leading this 48 team and all the support at Hendrick [Motorsports], we had everything in line. I feel bad for Aric [Almirola]. He didn't get a chance to drive the car, and I think he is a great talent, and hopefully he will be picked up by someone. He's doing a great job in the Truck Series, but I know he has aspirations to get into the Cup Series."

Almirola was on standby to drive the No.48 car for Johnson if his wife gave birth during the race weekend.

Johnson said he planned to fly back home to North Carolina this evening to be with his wife and daughter, and then return to Chicagoland in time for Saturday night's race here. Chicagoland is one of four tracks on the series schedule where Johnson has yet to win.

Tony Stewart, a two-time Chicagoland race winner, qualified third, while Greg Biffle and Sam Hornish Jr. rounded out the top-five.

"We had two hours and 45 minutes of practice and made only one qualifying run, so I'm pretty happy with our race car," Stewart said.

Jeff Gordon, David Reutimann, Martin Truex Jr., Paul Menard and Juan Pablo Montoya qualified sixth through 10th, respectively.

Kevin Harvick, the current points leader and winner of last weekend's race at Daytona, will start 27th, while NASCAR fan favorite Dale Earnhardt Jr. will roll off two spots ahead of Harvick in 25th.

Harvick holds a 212-point advantage over Gordon heading into the 19th race of the season.

Michael McDowell, Dave Blaney, J.J. Yeley and Todd Bodine failed to qualify.

Saturday's 400-mile race at Chicagoland is scheduled to start just after 7:30 p.m. (et).

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.